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How rare is it to roll Snake Eyes?

Published in Dice Probability 3 mins read

Rolling Snake Eyes is quite rare, with a probability of 1 in 36, or approximately 2.78%.

Understanding Snake Eyes

"Snake Eyes" is a distinctive term in dice games that refers to the specific outcome where both dice land on a one. This combination represents the lowest possible total you can achieve when rolling a pair of standard six-sided dice, as it results in a sum of two (1+1).

The Probability Explained

To determine the rarity of Snake Eyes, we look at the total number of possible outcomes when rolling two six-sided dice. Each die has 6 faces (numbered 1 through 6). Since the two dice are independent of each other, the total number of unique combinations is found by multiplying the number of outcomes for each die:

  • Die 1 Outcomes: 6
  • Die 2 Outcomes: 6
  • Total Possible Combinations: 6 × 6 = 36

Among these 36 unique combinations, only one specific outcome constitutes Snake Eyes: the first die showing a '1' AND the second die showing a '1'.

Therefore, the probability is calculated as:

  • Favorable Outcomes (Snake Eyes): 1 (the single combination of 1 and 1)
  • Total Possible Outcomes: 36

This gives us a probability of 1/36.

Converting to Percentage

To express this fraction as a percentage, we perform the division and multiply by 100:

(1 ÷ 36) × 100 ≈ 2.777...%

This is typically rounded to 2.78% for ease of understanding.

Rarity in Context

To better grasp the rarity of Snake Eyes, let's compare its probability to other common dice rolls:

Outcome Dice Combinations Number of Ways Probability (Fraction) Probability (Approx. %)
Snake Eyes (Total 2) (1, 1) 1 1/36 2.78%
Total 3 (1, 2), (2, 1) 2 2/36 = 1/18 5.56%
Total 7 (1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1) 6 6/36 = 1/6 16.67%
Total 11 (5, 6), (6, 5) 2 2/36 = 1/18 5.56%
Boxcars (Total 12) (6, 6) 1 1/36 2.78%

As the table illustrates, rolling Snake Eyes is as rare as rolling any other specific combination, such as Boxcars (double sixes). Outcomes like rolling a total of 7 are significantly more common because there are more unique ways to achieve that sum.

Practical Implications

In games that heavily rely on dice rolls, such as Craps, understanding the probability of specific outcomes like Snake Eyes is fundamental. Given its low probability, rolling Snake Eyes can often be an unfavorable result, leading to specific game consequences depending on the rules. This rarity makes it a notable and often anticipated event in gameplay.

Key takeaways for understanding this rare roll include:

  • Infrequent Occurrence: Do not expect to roll Snake Eyes frequently; it's a low-probability event.
  • Game Strategy: Awareness of its rarity can influence decisions in dice-based games, particularly concerning risk and reward.
  • Core Probability: It serves as an excellent, straightforward example for understanding how probabilities are calculated with multiple independent events.

This clear breakdown demonstrates why Snake Eyes is considered a rare and noteworthy roll in any setting involving two six-sided dice.