zaro

What is Archegos and how did it rattle the stock market?

Published in Financial Market Collapse 4 mins read

What is Archegos and how did it rattle the stock market?

Archegos Capital Management was a secretive family office that triggered a massive stock market sell-off in March 2021, leading to billions of dollars in losses for major global banks due to its highly leveraged and concentrated investment strategy.

What was Archegos Capital Management?

Archegos Capital Management was the private investment firm, or "family office," of Bill Hwang, a former hedge fund manager. Unlike traditional hedge funds, family offices often manage money for a single wealthy individual or family and are typically subject to less regulatory oversight.

Archegos pursued an aggressive investment strategy, taking large, concentrated positions in a relatively small number of companies. A significant portion of these positions were held through financial instruments known as total return swaps. These are contracts brokered by Wall Street banks that allow a user, like Archegos, to gain the profits and losses of a portfolio of stocks or other assets in exchange for a fee, without directly owning the underlying securities. This mechanism allowed Archegos to build enormous exposure to certain stocks with relatively little upfront capital, effectively using massive leverage.

How Did Archegos Rattle the Stock Market?

The Archegos crisis, which unfolded rapidly in late March 2021, sent shockwaves through the financial world primarily due to its hidden leverage and the subsequent forced liquidation of billions of dollars worth of stock.

The Leveraged Bet Unravels

Archegos's strategy, amplified by total return swaps, meant that a small downturn in the value of its underlying holdings could trigger significant issues. When the prices of some of the concentrated stocks in Archegos's portfolio began to fall, the banks that had facilitated these swaps and extended credit faced substantial risk.

This decline led to margin calls from these banks. A margin call occurs when the value of an investor's leveraged position drops below a certain threshold, requiring them to deposit additional funds to cover potential losses or face liquidation. Archegos, unable to meet these escalating margin calls, defaulted on its obligations.

Forced Liquidation and Market Fallout

In response to Archegos's default, the banks involved, including Credit Suisse, Nomura, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, were forced to rapidly liquidate billions of dollars worth of Archegos's underlying stock holdings to recover their capital. This massive, sudden sell-off of shares in companies like ViacomCBS (now Paramount Global), Discovery, GSX Techedu (now Gaotu Techedu), and Baidu, significantly drove down their stock prices.

The impact was swift and severe:

  • Billions in Bank Losses: Several major banks reported substantial losses. Credit Suisse, for example, took a hit of over $5 billion, and Nomura reported a loss of about $2.9 billion. This led to significant management changes and a re-evaluation of risk controls at some institutions.
  • Stock Market Volatility: While the broader market remained relatively stable, the specific stocks impacted saw dramatic drops in value, creating a brief period of heightened volatility and concern about potential contagion.
  • Regulatory Scrutiny: The incident highlighted the risks associated with family offices, the opacity of over-the-counter derivatives like total return swaps, and the need for better transparency and oversight in certain segments of the financial market.

Key Players and Losses

The Archegos collapse resulted in significant financial losses for several large investment banks:

Bank Estimated Loss (Approx.)
Credit Suisse $5.5 billion
Nomura Holdings $2.9 billion
Morgan Stanley $911 million
UBS Group $861 million
Mizuho Financial ~$100 million

Note: Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank avoided significant losses due to quickly unwinding their positions.

Lessons Learned

The Archegos implosion served as a stark reminder of several critical aspects of financial markets:

  • Hidden Leverage: The use of total return swaps allowed Archegos to accumulate huge, undisclosed positions, making it difficult for individual banks to see the full extent of the firm's leverage across the industry.
  • Risk Management Gaps: The event exposed weaknesses in the risk management systems of some banks, particularly in their counterparty risk assessment for family offices and other less-regulated entities.
  • Opacity of OTC Derivatives: The incident underscored the need for greater transparency and potentially more regulation for over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives that can create systemic risk.

For more information, you can explore details on Archegos Capital Management and Total Return Swaps.