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How do you determine affordability of a house?

Published in Housing Affordability 5 mins read

Determining the affordability of a house involves a comprehensive assessment of your financial health, combining traditional guidelines with your unique spending habits and future goals.

Understanding Housing Affordability

Affordability is not just about the mortgage payment; it encompasses all costs associated with homeownership, ensuring you can comfortably meet these expenses without financial strain.

The Income Rule of Thumb: 28/36 Rule

A common guideline widely used by financial experts and lenders to gauge how much house you can afford is the 28/36 rule.

  • Front-End Ratio (28% Rule): This suggests that your total monthly housing costs (including principal, interest, property taxes, and homeowner's insurance – often referred to as PITI) should not exceed 28% of your gross monthly income. For example, if your total household income is $4,000 per month, the maximum recommended monthly housing payment would be approximately $1,120. This benchmark helps ensure that the core cost of your home is manageable relative to your earnings.
  • Back-End Ratio (36% Rule): This broader rule states that your total monthly debt payments—including your housing costs, credit card payments, car loans, student loans, and any other recurring debt—should not exceed 36% of your gross monthly income. This ratio provides a holistic view of your debt burden and repayment capacity.

Example Scenario:
Let's say your gross monthly income is $5,000.

  • 28% for Housing: $5,000 x 0.28 = $1,400 (Maximum recommended monthly housing cost)
  • 36% for Total Debt: $5,000 x 0.36 = $1,800 (Maximum recommended total monthly debt payments)

If your existing non-housing debt (car loan, credit cards, etc.) totals $500 per month, then your maximum affordable housing payment, according to the back-end ratio, would be $1,800 - $500 = $1,300. In this case, you would consider the lower of the two figures ($1,300 vs. $1,400), which is $1,300, as your strict maximum housing payment.

Key Factors Influencing Home Affordability

Beyond the 28/36 rule, several critical factors play a significant role in determining how much house you can truly afford:

  • Down Payment: A larger down payment reduces the amount you need to borrow, which in turn lowers your monthly mortgage payments and potentially helps you avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI). A down payment of 20% or more is generally considered ideal.
  • Credit Score: Your credit score is a major determinant of the interest rate you'll qualify for on a mortgage. A higher score typically leads to a lower interest rate, saving you tens of thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.
  • Debt-to-Income (DTI) Ratio: This is the percentage of your gross monthly income that goes toward paying your debts. Lenders heavily scrutinize your DTI ratio, preferring lower ratios as they indicate a lower risk.
  • Closing Costs: These are fees and expenses paid at the closing of a real estate transaction. They typically range from 2% to 5% of the loan amount and must be factored into your upfront costs.
  • Interest Rates: Fluctuations in mortgage interest rates significantly impact your monthly payments. Even a small increase can lead to a substantial difference over 15 or 30 years.
  • Property Taxes and Homeowner's Insurance: These are recurring costs that are usually included in your monthly mortgage payment (as part of PITI). They vary by location and property value.
  • Homeowners Association (HOA) Fees: If the house is part of an HOA, you will have mandatory monthly or annual fees that need to be accounted for.
  • Ongoing Maintenance and Utilities: Beyond the mortgage, you'll have utility bills (electricity, water, gas, internet) and ongoing maintenance costs. Financial experts recommend setting aside 1% to 3% of your home's value annually for maintenance.

Practical Steps to Determine Your Affordability

  1. Calculate Your Gross Monthly Income: Sum up all sources of income before taxes and deductions.
  2. Itemize Your Current Monthly Debts: List all recurring debt payments like credit card minimums, car loans, student loans, and personal loans.
  3. Use an Affordability Calculator: Many reputable financial institutions and websites offer mortgage affordability calculators that can provide a good estimate based on your inputs.
  4. Factor in Your Down Payment and Savings: Assess how much you have saved for a down payment and an emergency fund.
  5. Get Pre-Approved for a Mortgage: Pre-approval gives you a clear understanding of how much a lender is willing to lend you, based on their assessment of your creditworthiness and financial standing. It's a more accurate picture than a simple calculation.
  6. Consider Your Lifestyle and Budget: While lenders determine what you can borrow, you should determine what you can comfortably afford. Create a detailed budget to see how a potential mortgage payment fits into your current spending, allowing for savings, emergencies, and discretionary spending. Don't forget costs like groceries, entertainment, and transportation.

Comparison Table: Impact of Income on Housing Affordability (28% Rule)

Gross Monthly Income Max Recommended Monthly Housing Payment (28%)
$3,500 $980
$5,000 $1,400
$7,500 $2,100
$10,000 $2,800

By considering these factors and applying a disciplined approach to your finances, you can accurately determine a housing budget that aligns with your financial goals and provides long-term stability.