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How to Calculate 4% Rule?

Published in Retirement Planning Calculation 2 mins read

Calculating the 4% rule involves determining a sustainable amount you can withdraw from your retirement savings each year without running out of money over a typical retirement period.

Here's how to calculate it based on the reference:

The Basic Calculation

The core idea is to calculate 4% of your total investable assets at the start of retirement. This amount becomes your withdrawal budget for the first year.

  • Step 1: Add up all your investments, retirement accounts, and any residual income streams that function like an asset pool (as mentioned in the reference).
  • Step 2: Calculate 4% of this total sum.
  • Step 3: This calculated amount is your maximum withdrawal for your first year of retirement.
  • Step 4: In subsequent years, adjust your withdrawal amount from the previous year based on the rate of inflation.

Detailed Steps

Below is a breakdown of the calculation process:

Step Action Description
1 Total Your Assets Sum the value of all investment accounts, retirement funds (like 401(k)s, IRAs), and relevant income-producing assets.
2 Calculate 4% of Total Multiply the total asset value from Step 1 by 0.04 (which is 4%).
3 Determine First Year's Withdrawal The result from Step 2 is the amount you can withdraw in your first year of retirement.
4 Adjust Annually for Inflation For each subsequent year, increase the previous year's withdrawal amount by the current inflation rate.

Example Calculation

Let's say you have the following assets at the start of retirement:

  • 401(k): $800,000
  • IRA: $150,000
  • Taxable Investment Account: $50,000
  • Residual Income (like value of rental property contributing to asset base): $0 (for this example)
  1. Total Assets: $800,000 + $150,000 + $50,000 + $0 = $1,000,000
  2. Calculate 4%: $1,000,000 * 0.04 = $40,000

Your calculated withdrawal for the first year of retirement is $40,000.

For the second year, if inflation was 3%, you would withdraw $40,000 * (1 + 0.03) = $41,200. This adjustment continues every year.

Important Considerations

  • The 4% rule is based on historical market data and designed to make your savings last typically 30 years.
  • It assumes a diversified investment portfolio.
  • Adjusting for inflation helps maintain your purchasing power throughout retirement.
  • Some variations of the rule exist, using slightly different percentages or adjustment methods.